Thursday, September 3, 2009

Cardinals on the Brink of History

Chris Carpenter recorded his 15th win last night by defeating the Brewers

With the Cardinals win last night, their magic number shrunk to 20. Barring a New York Mets-like collapse, it is almost a certainty that this team will be playing in the eight team playoff bracket in October. While there is still a month’s worth of games to play, there is a buzz about the city again, a buzz that hasn’t been heard since October of 2006. I use the word “since” very loosely as the Cards’ two year playoff drought is tied for the second shortest in Major League Baseball. The longest playoff drought belongs to the Washington Nationals/Montreal Expos, who last saw playoff baseball in 1981 when the then Expos lost in the National League Championship Series to the eventual World Champion Los Angeles Dodgers.

The Cardinals in the playoffs has been commonplace this decade. If the Cardinals clinch a playoff spot, it will be the franchise’s seventh trip to the postseason this decade and the club’s 27th appearance overall. Assuming that the Dodgers maintain their lead in the NL West, the Cardinals will keep pace with the Dodgers and stay one playoff appearance behind them with the third most playoff appearances in Major League Baseball history. Below is the complete list of playoff appearances for all 30 teams (not including projected appearances for 2009).

1. New York Yankees (47)
2. Los Angeles Dodgers (27)
3. St. Louis Cardinals (26)
4. San Francisco Giants (24)
5. Atlanta Braves (23)
5. Oakland Athletics (23)
7. Boston Red Sox (19)
8. Chicago Cubs (18)
9. Cincinnati Reds (12)
9. Detroit Tigers (12)
9. Minnesota Twins (12)
9. Pittsburgh Pirates (12)
13. Baltimore Orioles (11)
13. Philadelphia Phillies (11)
15. Cleveland Indians (10)
16. Chicago White Sox (9)
16. Houston Astros (9)
18. Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim (8)
19. Kansas City Royals (7)
19. New York Mets (7)
21. San Diego Padres (5)
21. Toronto Blue Jays (5)
23. Arizona Diamondbacks (4)
23. Seattle Mariners (4)
25. Milwaukee Brewers (3)
25. Texas Rangers (3)
27. Colorado Rockies (2)
27. Florida Marlins (2)
29. Tampa Bay Rays (1)
29. Washington Nationals/Montreal Expos (1)

A playoff appearance in 2009 would add to a franchise record. In no other decade has a Cardinal team been to the playoffs more than in the years 2000 thru 2009. This year would be the Cards’ seventh trip to the playoffs in 10 years. Before this decade, the previous Cardinal record was four, which had been achieved twice: Once in the 1880s (when the Cardinals were known as the St. Louis Browns in the old American Association League) and again in the 1940s. This is just one franchise record that this team is chasing. Here now are some possible records that the 2009 Cardinals can tie or break.

1. FIRST TEAM TO CLOSE OUT A DECADE IN THE PLAYOFFS

It’s weird, but no Cardinal team has ever closed out a decade with a trip to the playoffs. The closest any Cardinal team came was in 1949, when St. Louis finished one game behind the Brooklyn Dodgers with a record of 96-58. The 1949 squad was close to making the postseason, leading the National League by 1.5 games with five left to play. However, the team stumbled down the stretch, losing four out of those five games, allowing the Dodgers to take over first place. The worst Cardinal team to close out a decade was the 1909 squad, who finished seventh in the National League with a record of 54-98.


The 1949 Cardinals finished one game behind the Dodgers and missed the World Series. Stan Musial is the last person on the left.



2. ANOTHER 100 WIN SEASON

This team has a lot of games left to play, but at 79-55, the Cardinals have a legitimate shot at being the 9th team in franchise history to reach the 100 win mark. The Cardinals previously reached the mark in 2005 and are currently the last team in Major League History to reach 100 wins (a title that will most likely be stripped by the 2009 New York Yankees). If the Cardinals reach 100 wins, it will be the second decade in Cardinal history to sport three teams with 100-plus wins. In the 1940s (arguably the Cardinals’ most successful decade), St. Louis had 100 win teams in 1942 (club record 106 wins), 1943 (105 wins) and 1944 (105 wins). In order for this team to reach the century mark, they will need to win 21 of their remaining 28 games, which is a winning percentage of .750. While this isn’t entirely out of the question, it could be difficult. History is also not on the Cardinals side. Since 2000, the Cardinals are 144-110 in games played in September and October; a winning percentage of .567. If the Cards are able to maintain a .567 winning percentage over their last 28 games, it will put them at 95 wins on the season.

The 1942 Worl Champion Cardinals set a franchise record with 106 regular season victories




3. THREE 20-GAME WINNERS

This one is a long-shot as the Cardinals will need several things to fall in place. However, if this one does happen, it most likely means the Cards have won 100 regular season games. Adam Wainwright (16 wins), Chris Carpenter (15 wins) and Joel Pineiro (14 wins) all have a shot at becoming 20 game winners. In order for this to happen, both Carpenter and Pineiro will most likely have to receive the winning decision in the rest of their starts (both most likely have five to seven more starts this season). Wainwright, obviously, has a little more leeway. If all three make it to 20 wins, it would be the first time since 1973 that a pitching staff would have three 20 game winners, when the Oakland Athletics pitching trio of Catfish Hunter (21 wins), Ken Holtzman (21 wins) and Vida Blue (20 wins) accomplished the feat. Overall, only 24 teams in baseball history have had three 20-game winners.

Jim "Catfish" Hunter was a part of the 1973 Athletics trio to win 20 games, the last team in Major League history to have three 20 game winners



If the Cardinals reach this milestone, they won’t be the first St. Louis Major League team to have a 20-game trio. Hall of Famer Eddie Plank (21-11), Dave Davenport (22-18) and Doc Erandall (21-15) accomplished the feat for the 1915 St. Louis Terriers of the now defunct Federal League. For Plank, it was the last of his eight 20 win seasons.



Eddie Plank won 21 games for the St. Louis Terriers. It was the last time in his Hall of Fame career he would win 20 games













The 1915 St. Louis Terriers are the only St. Louis team in history to sport three 20 game winners.




4. 50 HOME RUNS FOR PUJOLS

Not a team record, but 50 home runs would be quite a sight for St. Louis fans. If Albert reaches the mark he will only be the second Cardinal in history to join the 50 Home Run Club. The lone Cardinal Representative is, of course, Mark McGwire who hit 58 home runs in 1997 with the Athletics and the Cardinals. McGwire hit 70 in 1998 and 65 in 1999.



Mark McGwire: The only Cardinal to ever have 50 or more home runs in a single season.



While these occurrences (with the exception of the first) are pure “what if” situations, I think St. Louis will be alright if they remain “what ifs”, because the leaves are changing colors, the temperature is dropping and football is about to begin. But the only thing people are thinking about is closing out the decade with another red October.

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